Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 23 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 23 août ?
13°C 46%
12°C 28%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
28%
13°C
46%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 28%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
8°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$214 Vol.
1%
10°C
$55 Vol.
2%
11°C
$42 Vol.
8%
12°C
$442 Vol.
28%
13°C
$129 Vol.
46%
14°C
$75 Vol.
18%
15°C
$40 Vol.
4%
16°C
$98 Vol.
2%
17°C
$20 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,307Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,307Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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