Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 12 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 12 juillet ?
12°C 42%
13°C 31%
11°C 13%
14°C 6.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
13%
12°C
42%
13°C
31%
14°C
7%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 31%
11°C 13%
14°C 6.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 juil. 2026
6°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$418 Vol.
1%
10°C
$166 Vol.
3%
11°C
$511 Vol.
13%
12°C
$39 Vol.
42%
13°C
$24 Vol.
31%
14°C
$58 Vol.
7%
15°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,910Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,910Date de fin
12 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 10, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Buenos Aires maximum temperatures on July 12 around 12–13°C, driven by southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This follows the unusually warm 18°C reading on July 7, which highlighted short-term variability from transient warm advection. Ensemble spreads and local station data keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes nearly equal in trader pricing, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts. Historical July highs average near 14–15°C, but current synoptic patterns favor values near the lower end of the normal range. The market will resolve on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final model updates expected overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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