Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 4?
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 16%
16°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 juil. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
27%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 39%
17°C 27%
19°C 16%
16°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 juil. 2026
12°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$139 Vol.
4%
16°C
$19 Vol.
12%
17°C
$80 Vol.
27%
18°C
$2,985 Vol.
39%
19°C
$296 Vol.
16%
20°C
$30 Vol.
3%
21°C
$20 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,974Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,974Date de fin
4 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service models and global ensembles point to a cool winter day in Cape Town on July 4, with highest temperatures most likely in the 16–18°C range amid a lingering upper-air trough and moderate Atlantic onshore flow. These conditions limit daytime heating through increased cloud cover and marine air advection, consistent with July climatology where average maxima reach 15–17°C. Key variables differentiating narrow outcome bins include exact cloud timing, wind shifts from southerly to northeasterly, and any weak frontal passage that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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