Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 14 août ?
37°C 100.0%
30°C ou moins <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$75,534 Vol.
$75,534 Vol.
14 août 2026
30°C ou moins
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Oui
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C ou plus
Non
37°C 100.0%
30°C ou moins <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$75,534 Vol.
$75,534 Vol.
14 août 2026
30°C ou moins
$385 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,481 Vol.
Non
32°C
$1,102 Vol.
Non
33°C
$1,061 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,877 Vol.
Non
35°C
$5,699 Vol.
Non
36°C
$18,353 Vol.
Non
37°C
$16,938 Vol.
Oui
38°C
$13,892 Vol.
Non
39°C
$6,269 Vol.
Non
40°C ou plus
$7,476 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$75,534Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75,534Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Meteorological consensus from the China Meteorological Administration places Chengdu under the Western Pacific Subtropical High on August 14, driving clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and strong solar heating that supports a daily maximum near 37°C. Ensemble model runs align on this outcome, consistent with typical mid-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where high pressure suppresses convection and maintains elevated surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this strong scientific agreement backed by real-time observations. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud buildup or measurement timing at official stations shifts the recorded peak slightly lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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