Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for London on August 24, supported by stable high pressure, easterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent short-range runs from ECMWF and UKMO show tight clustering between 21–23°C, with minor variations driven by cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts. Trader odds remain closely split across these outcomes because small forecast adjustments in wind speed or insolation can easily move the daily peak by 1°C, while historical August maxima in the region average around 21–22°C under similar setups. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the precise threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 24 août ?
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum temperature near 22°C for London on August 24, supported by stable high pressure, easterly flow, and limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent short-range runs from ECMWF and UKMO show tight clustering between 21–23°C, with minor variations driven by cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts. Trader odds remain closely split across these outcomes because small forecast adjustments in wind speed or insolation can easily move the daily peak by 1°C, while historical August maxima in the region average around 21–22°C under similar setups. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the precise threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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