Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on July 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 7?
34°C 46%
35°C 25%
33°C 14%
32°C 4.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
46%
35°C
25%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 25%
33°C 14%
32°C 4.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 juil. 2026
29°C or below
$249 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$553 Vol.
1%
31°C
$517 Vol.
1%
32°C
$510 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,357 Vol.
14%
34°C
$4,666 Vol.
46%
35°C
$228 Vol.
25%
36°C
$232 Vol.
3%
37°C
$373 Vol.
1%
38°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,220Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,220Date de fin
7 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila show daytime highs of 33–34°C through early July 2026, with 30–40% rain chances under easterly winds and typical southwest monsoon moisture. These align with observed peaks near 34–35°C in Luzon stations and a sub-seasonal outlook indicating warmer-than-average conditions for the region. July climatology centers on 31°C averages with frequent afternoon convection that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima. Trader emphasis on 34°C reflects this narrow range between recent readings and the official 33°C outlook for July 7, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ or 32°C and below capture model uncertainty and potential steering or rainfall impacts ahead of the next forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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