Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 5?
20°C 35%
21°C 31%
22°C 21%
19°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 juil. 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
12%
20°C
35%
21°C
31%
22°C
21%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
20°C 35%
21°C 31%
22°C 21%
19°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 juil. 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$17 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$204 Vol.
4%
19°C
$27 Vol.
12%
20°C
$3 Vol.
35%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$261Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$261Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including INMET points to a cold front passage moderating daytime heating in São Paulo on July 5, favoring a maximum temperature near 20–21°C at official observation sites. This aligns with July climatology of 21–22°C average highs while accounting for above-average early-month warmth giving way to cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of frontal arrival, boundary-layer moisture, and localized urban heat effects, which introduce forecast spread across ensemble runs and keep the 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Updated guidance expected from the next model cycle will likely clarify resolution criteria based on the highest recorded value at the primary station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes