Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 3 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 3 août ?
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
21°C ou moins
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
35%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
1%
27°C 39%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$105 Vol.
1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C
$200 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$16 Vol.
35%
27°C
$71 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$9 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$558Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$558Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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