Trader consensus around 31°C as the modal outcome for Panama City on July 3 reflects the city's July climatology, with average daily highs near 30–31°C and a typical range of 29–32°C amid the rainy season. Recent model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, but scattered afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress or elevate maxima by 1–2°C. The broad distribution across 30–32°C outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers alter peak readings. Historical analogs indicate occasional 33°C+ spikes under clearer conditions, while persistent cloudiness favors the lower tail. Final model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on July 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 3?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,455 Vol.
$35,455 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$35,455 Vol.
$35,455 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
23°C or below
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,915 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,190 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,147 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,736 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,417 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,839 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,863 Vol.
100%
33°C or higher
$3,276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31°C as the modal outcome for Panama City on July 3 reflects the city's July climatology, with average daily highs near 30–31°C and a typical range of 29–32°C amid the rainy season. Recent model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, but scattered afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress or elevate maxima by 1–2°C. The broad distribution across 30–32°C outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers alter peak readings. Historical analogs indicate occasional 33°C+ spikes under clearer conditions, while persistent cloudiness favors the lower tail. Final model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$35,455Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 31°C as the modal outcome for Panama City on July 3 reflects the city's July climatology, with average daily highs near 30–31°C and a typical range of 29–32°C amid the rainy season. Recent model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, but scattered afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress or elevate maxima by 1–2°C. The broad distribution across 30–32°C outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers alter peak readings. Historical analogs indicate occasional 33°C+ spikes under clearer conditions, while persistent cloudiness favors the lower tail. Final model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,455Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 10:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 31°C as the modal outcome for Panama City on July 3 reflects the city's July climatology, with average daily highs near 30–31°C and a typical range of 29–32°C amid the rainy season. Recent model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, but scattered afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress or elevate maxima by 1–2°C. The broad distribution across 30–32°C outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts, where small shifts in timing or intensity of showers alter peak readings. Historical analogs indicate occasional 33°C+ spikes under clearer conditions, while persistent cloudiness favors the lower tail. Final model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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