**Trader consensus on the Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high in San Francisco on September 16, 2026, reflecting the official maximum temperature recorded that day.** National Weather Service observations from the San Francisco Bay Area, including the airport station (KSFO), documented a daily maximum of 66°F, with nearby urban and downtown readings aligning closely in the 64-65°F range amid typical September marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow. This outcome sits below the 1991-2020 climatological normal high of approximately 71°F, consistent with persistent cool, stable conditions driven by the Pacific high-pressure system and limited solar heating under cloudy to partly cloudy skies. Forecast models from the prior days had converged on this mild range, with no significant warming signals from offshore flow or subsidence. The only realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger-than-expected downslope wind event or delayed marine-layer clearance allowing brief additional warming—neither of which materialized based on verified surface data. With the date now past, the market reflects the finalized observational record rather than ongoing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 16 septembre ?
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,634 Vol.
$32,634 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
59°F ou moins
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77 °F
<1%
78°F ou plus
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F ou moins <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,634 Vol.
$32,634 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
59°F ou moins
$521 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$6,961 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$6,176 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$7,272 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,783 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,724 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
76-77 °F
$151 Vol.
<1%
78°F ou plus
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high in San Francisco on September 16, 2026, reflecting the official maximum temperature recorded that day.**
National Weather Service observations from the San Francisco Bay Area, including the airport station (KSFO), documented a daily maximum of 66°F, with nearby urban and downtown readings aligning closely in the 64-65°F range amid typical September marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow. This outcome sits below the 1991-2020 climatological normal high of approximately 71°F, consistent with persistent cool, stable conditions driven by the Pacific high-pressure system and limited solar heating under cloudy to partly cloudy skies.
Forecast models from the prior days had converged on this mild range, with no significant warming signals from offshore flow or subsidence. The only realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger-than-expected downslope wind event or delayed marine-layer clearance allowing brief additional warming—neither of which materialized based on verified surface data. With the date now past, the market reflects the finalized observational record rather than ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,634Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high in San Francisco on September 16, 2026, reflecting the official maximum temperature recorded that day.**
National Weather Service observations from the San Francisco Bay Area, including the airport station (KSFO), documented a daily maximum of 66°F, with nearby urban and downtown readings aligning closely in the 64-65°F range amid typical September marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow. This outcome sits below the 1991-2020 climatological normal high of approximately 71°F, consistent with persistent cool, stable conditions driven by the Pacific high-pressure system and limited solar heating under cloudy to partly cloudy skies.
Forecast models from the prior days had converged on this mild range, with no significant warming signals from offshore flow or subsidence. The only realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger-than-expected downslope wind event or delayed marine-layer clearance allowing brief additional warming—neither of which materialized based on verified surface data. With the date now past, the market reflects the finalized observational record rather than ongoing uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,634Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 64-65°F high in San Francisco on September 16, 2026, reflecting the official maximum temperature recorded that day.** National Weather Service observations from the San Francisco Bay Area, including the airport station (KSFO), documented a daily maximum of 66°F, with nearby urban and downtown readings aligning closely in the 64-65°F range amid typical September marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow. This outcome sits below the 1991-2020 climatological normal high of approximately 71°F, consistent with persistent cool, stable conditions driven by the Pacific high-pressure system and limited solar heating under cloudy to partly cloudy skies. Forecast models from the prior days had converged on this mild range, with no significant warming signals from offshore flow or subsidence. The only realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include a stronger-than-expected downslope wind event or delayed marine-layer clearance allowing brief additional warming—neither of which materialized based on verified surface data. With the date now past, the market reflects the finalized observational record rather than ongoing uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 17 septembre ?
44%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 16 septembre ?
88%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71 °F le 18 septembre ?
35%
Oui
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