Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 17 septembre ?
22°C 35%
21°C 22%
23°C 22%
20°C ou moins 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
12%
21°C
22%
22°C
35%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 35%
21°C 22%
23°C 22%
20°C ou moins 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$1,332 Vol.
12%
21°C
$1,222 Vol.
22%
22°C
$1,540 Vol.
35%
23°C
$358 Vol.
22%
24°C
$173 Vol.
8%
25°C
$165 Vol.
3%
26°C
$282 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$229 Vol.
1%
29°C
$229 Vol.
1%
30°C ou plus
$229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$5,757Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,757Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a sharp temperature drop in Wuhan driven by northeasterly cold air advection ahead of a frontal system, with moderate rain expected on September 17. Official guidance centers on a daily maximum near 22°C amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 80 percent, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads and regional analogs suggest the highest reading could settle between 21–23°C depending on exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, explaining the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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