**Marine layer dynamics and seasonal weakening of coastal upwelling position 70–73°F as the dominant range for San Francisco’s September 17 high.** The city’s proximity to the cold California Current and typical marine layer thickness of 300–800 feet limit afternoon warming, especially in lower-elevation districts, while September’s reduced North Pacific High strength and moderating Central Valley temperatures allow more sunshine and slightly higher readings than peak summer. Official model guidance and recent climatological data show typical highs near 70–71°F, with traders assigning 46% implied probability to that bin and 34.5% to 72–73°F. Any late-day clearing or lighter onshore flow could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes before the marine layer reasserts overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 17 septembre ?
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
68-69 °F 7%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,683 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,683 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69 °F
7%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
68-69 °F 7%
74-75°F 5%
NOUVEAU
$12,683 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,683 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$269 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$149 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$122 Vol.
3%
68-69 °F
$2,682 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$1,465 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$3,887 Vol.
43%
74-75°F
$989 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$159 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$228 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$185 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer dynamics and seasonal weakening of coastal upwelling position 70–73°F as the dominant range for San Francisco’s September 17 high.** The city’s proximity to the cold California Current and typical marine layer thickness of 300–800 feet limit afternoon warming, especially in lower-elevation districts, while September’s reduced North Pacific High strength and moderating Central Valley temperatures allow more sunshine and slightly higher readings than peak summer. Official model guidance and recent climatological data show typical highs near 70–71°F, with traders assigning 46% implied probability to that bin and 34.5% to 72–73°F. Any late-day clearing or lighter onshore flow could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes before the marine layer reasserts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,683Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer dynamics and seasonal weakening of coastal upwelling position 70–73°F as the dominant range for San Francisco’s September 17 high.** The city’s proximity to the cold California Current and typical marine layer thickness of 300–800 feet limit afternoon warming, especially in lower-elevation districts, while September’s reduced North Pacific High strength and moderating Central Valley temperatures allow more sunshine and slightly higher readings than peak summer. Official model guidance and recent climatological data show typical highs near 70–71°F, with traders assigning 46% implied probability to that bin and 34.5% to 72–73°F. Any late-day clearing or lighter onshore flow could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes before the marine layer reasserts overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,683Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer dynamics and seasonal weakening of coastal upwelling position 70–73°F as the dominant range for San Francisco’s September 17 high.** The city’s proximity to the cold California Current and typical marine layer thickness of 300–800 feet limit afternoon warming, especially in lower-elevation districts, while September’s reduced North Pacific High strength and moderating Central Valley temperatures allow more sunshine and slightly higher readings than peak summer. Official model guidance and recent climatological data show typical highs near 70–71°F, with traders assigning 46% implied probability to that bin and 34.5% to 72–73°F. Any late-day clearing or lighter onshore flow could push readings toward the upper end of the favored outcomes before the marine layer reasserts overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71 °F le 18 septembre ?
37%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61 °F le 17 septembre ?
51%
Oui
La température minimale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F le 18 septembre ?
38%
Oui
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