Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 17 septembre ?
28°C 48%
27°C 31%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
31%
28°C
48%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C ou plus
1%
28°C 48%
27°C 31%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$243 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$233 Vol.
1%
25°C
$173 Vol.
2%
26°C
$260 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,011 Vol.
31%
28°C
$2,111 Vol.
48%
29°C
$408 Vol.
13%
30°C
$191 Vol.
3%
31°C
$385 Vol.
2%
32°C ou plus
$394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$5,671Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,671Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17, driven by increasing cloud cover, southeast winds at 3–4 levels, and a transition from recent clearer, warmer conditions (highs near 27–29°C on September 16). This positions 26–27°C as the most likely outcomes based on official guidance, with limited heating potential due to marine influence and partial cloudiness suppressing peak insolation. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (47% implied probability) reflects uncertainty around model spread and the possibility of clearer breaks allowing brief warming above the baseline, though probabilities drop sharply above 29°C given the seasonal cooling trend and low precipitation risk. Updated model runs overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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