Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate a daily maximum temperature clustering around 31–32°C on September 16, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with easterly flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and partial cloud cover that moderates peak solar heating. Recent observations show afternoon readings reaching the low 30s amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influences that could push extremes higher. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 31°C leading as the most frequent model consensus outcome while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 16 septembre ?
31°C 42%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
$34,906 Vol.
$34,906 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
21%
31°C
42%
32°C
25%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 42%
32°C 25%
30°C 15%
33°C 7%
$34,906 Vol.
$34,906 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$2,544 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,132 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,714 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,866 Vol.
21%
31°C
$2,856 Vol.
42%
32°C
$5,349 Vol.
25%
33°C
$9,272 Vol.
7%
34°C
$1,739 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate a daily maximum temperature clustering around 31–32°C on September 16, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with easterly flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and partial cloud cover that moderates peak solar heating. Recent observations show afternoon readings reaching the low 30s amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influences that could push extremes higher. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 31°C leading as the most frequent model consensus outcome while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,906Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate a daily maximum temperature clustering around 31–32°C on September 16, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with easterly flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and partial cloud cover that moderates peak solar heating. Recent observations show afternoon readings reaching the low 30s amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influences that could push extremes higher. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 31°C leading as the most frequent model consensus outcome while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,906Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate a daily maximum temperature clustering around 31–32°C on September 16, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with easterly flow, high humidity near 70–85%, and partial cloud cover that moderates peak solar heating. Recent observations show afternoon readings reaching the low 30s amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influences that could push extremes higher. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 31°C leading as the most frequent model consensus outcome while lower or higher thresholds remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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