**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, stems from real-time observations and model consensus showing a daily maximum of exactly 24°C amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, Meteum) consistently project an afternoon peak near 24°C, with morning lows around 19–21°C and no strong warming mechanism due to persistent cloud cover and modest northeast flow. This aligns with the day's observed trajectory, where temperatures reached but did not exceed this threshold. Historical September averages near 25°C highlight how today's specific conditions—enhanced moisture and limited insolation—have suppressed the high. Resolution hinges on the final official station reading; minor discrepancies from microclimate effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 18 septembre ?
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$31,652 Vol.
$31,652 Vol.
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$31,652 Vol.
$31,652 Vol.
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 24°C high in Chengdu on September 18, 2026, stems from real-time observations and model consensus showing a daily maximum of exactly 24°C amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., Met Office, Meteum) consistently project an afternoon peak near 24°C, with morning lows around 19–21°C and no strong warming mechanism due to persistent cloud cover and modest northeast flow. This aligns with the day's observed trajectory, where temperatures reached but did not exceed this threshold. Historical September averages near 25°C highlight how today's specific conditions—enhanced moisture and limited insolation—have suppressed the high. Resolution hinges on the final official station reading; minor discrepancies from microclimate effects or measurement timing remain the only realistic variables that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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