Latest ensemble forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airstream will dominate on September 20, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 14–15°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with Wellington’s spring climatology, where average September highs reach 13–14°C amid variable winds and frequent marine influences. Recent model runs show consistent agreement on modest diurnal ranges under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, reducing odds of exceeding 16°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects this consensus, though minor shifts in wind timing or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C ahead of final MetService guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 20 septembre ?
15°C 58%
14°C 27%
16°C 15%
13°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
27%
15°C
58%
16°C
15%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 58%
14°C 27%
16°C 15%
13°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$181 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$178 Vol.
3%
13°C
$97 Vol.
4%
14°C
$1,678 Vol.
27%
15°C
$444 Vol.
58%
16°C
$2,269 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou plus
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airstream will dominate on September 20, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 14–15°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with Wellington’s spring climatology, where average September highs reach 13–14°C amid variable winds and frequent marine influences. Recent model runs show consistent agreement on modest diurnal ranges under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, reducing odds of exceeding 16°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects this consensus, though minor shifts in wind timing or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,429Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airstream will dominate on September 20, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 14–15°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with Wellington’s spring climatology, where average September highs reach 13–14°C amid variable winds and frequent marine influences. Recent model runs show consistent agreement on modest diurnal ranges under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, reducing odds of exceeding 16°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects this consensus, though minor shifts in wind timing or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C ahead of final MetService guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,429Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly airstream will dominate on September 20, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 14–15°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with Wellington’s spring climatology, where average September highs reach 13–14°C amid variable winds and frequent marine influences. Recent model runs show consistent agreement on modest diurnal ranges under partly cloudy skies with a chance of showers, reducing odds of exceeding 16°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects this consensus, though minor shifts in wind timing or cloud cover could adjust the peak by 1°C ahead of final MetService guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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