Latest Met Office guidance points to a 21°C maximum in London on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and minimal rain risk, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus. This places the day near or slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C, driven by a transitional Atlantic flow without strong high-pressure amplification or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 20°C (58.5%) and 21°C (25.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of official and private forecasts around those thresholds and the low likelihood of deviations exceeding 1–2°C given current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 18 septembre ?
20°C 59%
21°C 26%
19°C 14%
18°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$14,788 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,788 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
59%
21°C
26%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 59%
21°C 26%
19°C 14%
18°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$14,788 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,788 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$197 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$170 Vol.
1%
18°C
$998 Vol.
2%
19°C
$2,678 Vol.
14%
20°C
$4,151 Vol.
59%
21°C
$3,773 Vol.
26%
22°C
$1,021 Vol.
1%
23°C
$734 Vol.
1%
24°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$562 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 21°C maximum in London on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and minimal rain risk, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus. This places the day near or slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C, driven by a transitional Atlantic flow without strong high-pressure amplification or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 20°C (58.5%) and 21°C (25.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of official and private forecasts around those thresholds and the low likelihood of deviations exceeding 1–2°C given current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$14,788Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 21°C maximum in London on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and minimal rain risk, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus. This places the day near or slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C, driven by a transitional Atlantic flow without strong high-pressure amplification or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 20°C (58.5%) and 21°C (25.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of official and private forecasts around those thresholds and the low likelihood of deviations exceeding 1–2°C given current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,788Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 21°C maximum in London on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and minimal rain risk, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus. This places the day near or slightly above the long-term September average high of roughly 19–20°C, driven by a transitional Atlantic flow without strong high-pressure amplification or cold advection. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 20°C (58.5%) and 21°C (25.5%), reflecting the tight clustering of official and private forecasts around those thresholds and the low likelihood of deviations exceeding 1–2°C given current steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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