**Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on September 17 point to partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms driven by easterly winds, which typically limit peak heating and align with the market's strong tilt toward 32°C as the day's highest temperature.** El Niño conditions persisting in the tropical Pacific are contributing to near- or slightly above-average warmth across much of the country, though localized convection and high humidity are expected to moderate afternoon maxima. Recent model guidance shows daytime highs clustering around 30–32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C, while the low odds on extremes above 33°C or below 30°C reflect the stabilizing influence of cloud cover and scattered rain. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 17 septembre ?
32°C 43%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
30°C 10%
$11,532 Vol.
$11,532 Vol.
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
30°C 10%
$11,532 Vol.
$11,532 Vol.
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
43%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on September 17 point to partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms driven by easterly winds, which typically limit peak heating and align with the market's strong tilt toward 32°C as the day's highest temperature.** El Niño conditions persisting in the tropical Pacific are contributing to near- or slightly above-average warmth across much of the country, though localized convection and high humidity are expected to moderate afternoon maxima. Recent model guidance shows daytime highs clustering around 30–32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C, while the low odds on extremes above 33°C or below 30°C reflect the stabilizing influence of cloud cover and scattered rain. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to influence trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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