Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daytime high near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with modest rain chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability. Regional models show southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing peak heating consistent with late-September climatology, where averages reach 33–34°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 25.5% odds on 37°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective development or measurement timing at official stations, while sub-35°C and 38°C+ outcomes remain minimal due to weak model support. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 septembre ?
36°C 72%
37°C 27%
38°C ou plus 2.8%
28°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$39,081 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,081 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
72%
37°C
24%
38°C ou plus
3%
36°C 72%
37°C 27%
38°C ou plus 2.8%
28°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$39,081 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$39,081 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$1,952 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$662 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,901 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,351 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,644 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,295 Vol.
72%
37°C
$4,239 Vol.
24%
38°C ou plus
$5,566 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daytime high near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with modest rain chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability. Regional models show southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing peak heating consistent with late-September climatology, where averages reach 33–34°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 25.5% odds on 37°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective development or measurement timing at official stations, while sub-35°C and 38°C+ outcomes remain minimal due to weak model support. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,081Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daytime high near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with modest rain chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability. Regional models show southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing peak heating consistent with late-September climatology, where averages reach 33–34°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 25.5% odds on 37°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective development or measurement timing at official stations, while sub-35°C and 38°C+ outcomes remain minimal due to weak model support. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,081Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a daytime high near 36°C under partly cloudy skies with modest rain chances, establishing this as the market's leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability. Regional models show southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing peak heating consistent with late-September climatology, where averages reach 33–34°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. The 25.5% odds on 37°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon convective development or measurement timing at official stations, while sub-35°C and 38°C+ outcomes remain minimal due to weak model support. Updated runs from Chinese meteorological agencies and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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