Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating Manila's diurnal temperature range for September 20, keeping official model consensus centered on nighttime lows near 24–26 °C. Heavy rainfall suppresses daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 22 °C or above 30 °C. PAGASA monitoring of a distant tropical cyclone and potential southwest monsoon enhancement introduces modest forecast spread, sustaining the near-even market split between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and the next PAGASA briefing within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 20 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 20 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 99%
31°C ou plus 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C ou plus
97%
21°C ou moins 99%
31°C ou plus 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
99%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C
$0 Vol.
39%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating Manila's diurnal temperature range for September 20, keeping official model consensus centered on nighttime lows near 24–26 °C. Heavy rainfall suppresses daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 22 °C or above 30 °C. PAGASA monitoring of a distant tropical cyclone and potential southwest monsoon enhancement introduces modest forecast spread, sustaining the near-even market split between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and the next PAGASA briefing within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating Manila's diurnal temperature range for September 20, keeping official model consensus centered on nighttime lows near 24–26 °C. Heavy rainfall suppresses daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 22 °C or above 30 °C. PAGASA monitoring of a distant tropical cyclone and potential southwest monsoon enhancement introduces modest forecast spread, sustaining the near-even market split between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and the next PAGASA briefing within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone are moderating Manila's diurnal temperature range for September 20, keeping official model consensus centered on nighttime lows near 24–26 °C. Heavy rainfall suppresses daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 22 °C or above 30 °C. PAGASA monitoring of a distant tropical cyclone and potential southwest monsoon enhancement introduces modest forecast spread, sustaining the near-even market split between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes. Updated numerical guidance and the next PAGASA briefing within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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