Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely settle near 13–14°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and scattered rainfall that limit radiative cooling. Observations through midday show daytime highs around 20–21°C with 100% cloud cover and light precipitation, consistent with seasonal norms for late September but slightly above the long-term average minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 14°C and 13°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could push lows lower. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data through the evening will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 20 septembre ?
14°C 84.5%
11°C ou moins 61%
13°C 47%
12°C 33%
$6,718 Vol.
$6,718 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
61%
12°C
33%
13°C
47%
14°C
70%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 84.5%
11°C ou moins 61%
13°C 47%
12°C 33%
$6,718 Vol.
$6,718 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
61%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14°C
$6,412 Vol.
70%
15°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely settle near 13–14°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and scattered rainfall that limit radiative cooling. Observations through midday show daytime highs around 20–21°C with 100% cloud cover and light precipitation, consistent with seasonal norms for late September but slightly above the long-term average minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 14°C and 13°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could push lows lower. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,718Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely settle near 13–14°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and scattered rainfall that limit radiative cooling. Observations through midday show daytime highs around 20–21°C with 100% cloud cover and light precipitation, consistent with seasonal norms for late September but slightly above the long-term average minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 14°C and 13°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could push lows lower. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data through the evening will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,718Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely settle near 13–14°C overnight, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwest winds, and scattered rainfall that limit radiative cooling. Observations through midday show daytime highs around 20–21°C with 100% cloud cover and light precipitation, consistent with seasonal norms for late September but slightly above the long-term average minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 14°C and 13°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the absence of clear-sky conditions that could push lows lower. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data through the evening will determine final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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