Forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS project a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 between 9–12°C amid scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, and variable cloud cover under a 1015 hPa pressure field. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud insulation and latent heat from rain, while clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip closer to the lower end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 10–12°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread, with the notable allocation to 6°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty around potential stronger advection or clearer skies. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the narrow distribution of implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
6°C ou moins 49%
11°C 49%
9°C 37%
7°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
49%
7°C
17%
8°C
9%
9°C
37%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
6°C ou moins 49%
11°C 49%
9°C 37%
7°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
49%
7°C
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$13 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS project a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 between 9–12°C amid scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, and variable cloud cover under a 1015 hPa pressure field. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud insulation and latent heat from rain, while clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip closer to the lower end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 10–12°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread, with the notable allocation to 6°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty around potential stronger advection or clearer skies. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the narrow distribution of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$308Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS project a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 between 9–12°C amid scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, and variable cloud cover under a 1015 hPa pressure field. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud insulation and latent heat from rain, while clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip closer to the lower end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 10–12°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread, with the notable allocation to 6°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty around potential stronger advection or clearer skies. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the narrow distribution of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$308Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS project a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 21 between 9–12°C amid scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–25 km/h, and variable cloud cover under a 1015 hPa pressure field. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud insulation and latent heat from rain, while clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip closer to the lower end of that range. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 10–12°C outcomes because recent model runs show only modest spread, with the notable allocation to 6°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty around potential stronger advection or clearer skies. Historical September minima average near 10°C, providing context for the narrow distribution of implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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