Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 22 septembre ?
2°C ou moins 87%
12°C ou plus 84%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
87%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C ou plus
84%
2°C ou moins 87%
12°C ou plus 84%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
87%
3°C
$10 Vol.
39%
4°C
$10 Vol.
39%
5°C
$0 Vol.
21%
6°C
$0 Vol.
21%
7°C
$0 Vol.
22%
8°C
$0 Vol.
22%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$40Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes