Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 22 points to sunny skies under persistent mid-level ridging, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime highs in the upper 90s. Official point forecasts cluster between 95–98 °F, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins as traders weigh small differences in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Above-normal September warmth, driven by the stalled pattern that produced similar readings the prior several days, keeps lower or higher outliers at minimal implied probability while heat-index values are projected to exceed 105 °F. Updated model runs and any late-day seabreeze or convective developments remain the key variables that could shift final observed maximums within the narrow leading range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Houston le 22 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Houston le 22 septembre ?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 6%
92-93°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
87°F ou moins
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou plus
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 43%
98-99°F 6%
92-93°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
87°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$273 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$9 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$276 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$1,395 Vol.
49%
96-97°F
$1,435 Vol.
43%
98-99°F
$157 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$73 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$46 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$279 Vol.
<1%
106°F ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 22 points to sunny skies under persistent mid-level ridging, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime highs in the upper 90s. Official point forecasts cluster between 95–98 °F, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins as traders weigh small differences in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Above-normal September warmth, driven by the stalled pattern that produced similar readings the prior several days, keeps lower or higher outliers at minimal implied probability while heat-index values are projected to exceed 105 °F. Updated model runs and any late-day seabreeze or convective developments remain the key variables that could shift final observed maximums within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,060Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 22 points to sunny skies under persistent mid-level ridging, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime highs in the upper 90s. Official point forecasts cluster between 95–98 °F, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins as traders weigh small differences in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Above-normal September warmth, driven by the stalled pattern that produced similar readings the prior several days, keeps lower or higher outliers at minimal implied probability while heat-index values are projected to exceed 105 °F. Updated model runs and any late-day seabreeze or convective developments remain the key variables that could shift final observed maximums within the narrow leading range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,060Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 22 points to sunny skies under persistent mid-level ridging, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime highs in the upper 90s. Official point forecasts cluster between 95–98 °F, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins as traders weigh small differences in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Above-normal September warmth, driven by the stalled pattern that produced similar readings the prior several days, keeps lower or higher outliers at minimal implied probability while heat-index values are projected to exceed 105 °F. Updated model runs and any late-day seabreeze or convective developments remain the key variables that could shift final observed maximums within the narrow leading range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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