Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 21 with light southerly winds, supporting a daytime high near 28–29 °C. Recent observations show September temperatures running 1–2 °C above the long-term average amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31 °C (combined >85 %) likely incorporate residual model spread or expectations of brief warming ahead of a frontal passage, though consensus guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 29 °C given stable high pressure. Updated runs from global ensembles and local verification tomorrow morning will clarify whether any diurnal heating exceeds this range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 21 septembre ?
31°C 48%
30°C 39%
29°C 8%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$11,928 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,928 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25 °C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
48%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 39%
29°C 8%
32°C 7%
NOUVEAU
$11,928 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,928 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$421 Vol.
<1%
25 °C
$316 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$683 Vol.
1%
28°C
$606 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,387 Vol.
8%
30°C
$1,173 Vol.
39%
31°C
$6,634 Vol.
48%
32°C
$412 Vol.
7%
33°C
$225 Vol.
1%
34°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 21 with light southerly winds, supporting a daytime high near 28–29 °C. Recent observations show September temperatures running 1–2 °C above the long-term average amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31 °C (combined >85 %) likely incorporate residual model spread or expectations of brief warming ahead of a frontal passage, though consensus guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 29 °C given stable high pressure. Updated runs from global ensembles and local verification tomorrow morning will clarify whether any diurnal heating exceeds this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,928Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 21 with light southerly winds, supporting a daytime high near 28–29 °C. Recent observations show September temperatures running 1–2 °C above the long-term average amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31 °C (combined >85 %) likely incorporate residual model spread or expectations of brief warming ahead of a frontal passage, though consensus guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 29 °C given stable high pressure. Updated runs from global ensembles and local verification tomorrow morning will clarify whether any diurnal heating exceeds this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,928Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and aligned models indicate Beijing will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on September 21 with light southerly winds, supporting a daytime high near 28–29 °C. Recent observations show September temperatures running 1–2 °C above the long-term average amid dry conditions and minimal cloud cover. Market-implied odds favoring 30–31 °C (combined >85 %) likely incorporate residual model spread or expectations of brief warming ahead of a frontal passage, though consensus guidance shows limited upside potential beyond 29 °C given stable high pressure. Updated runs from global ensembles and local verification tomorrow morning will clarify whether any diurnal heating exceeds this range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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