Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town could reach a daily maximum near 28–30°C on September 22, driven by springtime warming, lighter winds, and reduced marine influence compared with typical southeasterly flow. September 2026 has already featured above-average warmth, including a 30.7°C peak earlier in the month, while long-term climatology places the September 22 average high near 18–20°C. Cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and minor shifts in wind direction introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, with model spreads accounting for the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée au Cap le 22 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée au Cap le 22 septembre ?
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
25%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C ou plus
3%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$14 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$5 Vol.
25%
32°C
$84 Vol.
29%
33°C
$101 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town could reach a daily maximum near 28–30°C on September 22, driven by springtime warming, lighter winds, and reduced marine influence compared with typical southeasterly flow. September 2026 has already featured above-average warmth, including a 30.7°C peak earlier in the month, while long-term climatology places the September 22 average high near 18–20°C. Cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and minor shifts in wind direction introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, with model spreads accounting for the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$203Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town could reach a daily maximum near 28–30°C on September 22, driven by springtime warming, lighter winds, and reduced marine influence compared with typical southeasterly flow. September 2026 has already featured above-average warmth, including a 30.7°C peak earlier in the month, while long-term climatology places the September 22 average high near 18–20°C. Cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and minor shifts in wind direction introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, with model spreads accounting for the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Cape Town could reach a daily maximum near 28–30°C on September 22, driven by springtime warming, lighter winds, and reduced marine influence compared with typical southeasterly flow. September 2026 has already featured above-average warmth, including a 30.7°C peak earlier in the month, while long-term climatology places the September 22 average high near 18–20°C. Cloud cover, possible scattered showers, and minor shifts in wind direction introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, with model spreads accounting for the closely bunched market-implied probabilities around 30–33°C. Updated official guidance from the South African Weather Service and next model cycles will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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