Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 21 septembre ?
26°C 37%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$14,008 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,008 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
23%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
1%
26°C 37%
25°C 23%
27°C 23%
24°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$14,008 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,008 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$387 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,830 Vol.
5%
24°C
$2,693 Vol.
11%
25°C
$1,596 Vol.
23%
26°C
$2,322 Vol.
37%
27°C
$1,818 Vol.
23%
28°C
$1,206 Vol.
6%
29°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$1,068 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,008Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,008Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rain and strong northeasterly winds from an approaching low-pressure system, including influences from Typhoon 25, are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on September 21. Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a maximum of 25–27°C under near-total cloud cover and widespread precipitation exceeding 100 mm in many runs. These conditions align closely with historical late-September averages near 26°C but limit upside potential from clearer, warmer scenarios. Trader consensus on 26°C as the modal outcome reflects this stable, rain-dominated pattern, with modest probabilities on 25°C or 27°C hinging on exact timing of peak rainfall and minor model adjustments ahead of the day’s resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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