**Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from an active weather system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22°C minimum for Tokyo on September 21.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daytime highs near 23–26°C with overnight lows holding at 21–23°C amid saturated air masses, high humidity above 90%, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s 87% implied probability for 22°C while keeping 21°C as a secondary possibility if clearer breaks develop later. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 18.5°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by widespread precipitation and suppressed diurnal ranges—has elevated overnight readings across the Kanto region. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings through the evening will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 21 septembre ?
22°C 89%
21°C 11%
20°C 4%
19°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
89%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 89%
21°C 11%
20°C 4%
19°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$332 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,013 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$576 Vol.
2%
20°C
$552 Vol.
4%
21°C
$891 Vol.
11%
22°C
$1,645 Vol.
89%
23°C
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou plus
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from an active weather system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22°C minimum for Tokyo on September 21.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daytime highs near 23–26°C with overnight lows holding at 21–23°C amid saturated air masses, high humidity above 90%, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s 87% implied probability for 22°C while keeping 21°C as a secondary possibility if clearer breaks develop later. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 18.5°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by widespread precipitation and suppressed diurnal ranges—has elevated overnight readings across the Kanto region. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings through the evening will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,327Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from an active weather system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22°C minimum for Tokyo on September 21.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daytime highs near 23–26°C with overnight lows holding at 21–23°C amid saturated air masses, high humidity above 90%, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s 87% implied probability for 22°C while keeping 21°C as a secondary possibility if clearer breaks develop later. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 18.5°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by widespread precipitation and suppressed diurnal ranges—has elevated overnight readings across the Kanto region. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings through the evening will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,327Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from an active weather system are anchoring trader consensus around a 22°C minimum for Tokyo on September 21.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple forecast models indicate daytime highs near 23–26°C with overnight lows holding at 21–23°C amid saturated air masses, high humidity above 90%, and northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align closely with the market’s 87% implied probability for 22°C while keeping 21°C as a secondary possibility if clearer breaks develop later. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 18.5°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by widespread precipitation and suppressed diurnal ranges—has elevated overnight readings across the Kanto region. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency briefings through the evening will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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