Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Houston le 23 septembre ?
71°F ou moins 99%
90 °F ou plus 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
71°F ou moins
99%
72-73 °F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90 °F ou plus
98%
71°F ou moins 99%
90 °F ou plus 98%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 40%
71°F ou moins
99%
72-73 °F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90 °F ou plus
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a stalled frontal boundary have sustained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts showing Houston’s September 23 low near 80°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. Model consensus from recent runs indicates minimal overnight cooling as dew points remain in the low 70s, keeping the daily minimum firmly in the upper 70s. Historical late-September averages hover around 72–74°F, yet the current ridge has produced lows 6–8°F above normal for the past week. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 71°F threshold versus higher ranges reflect trader focus on whether any subtle wind shift or increased cloud cover could allow slightly more radiational cooling before resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will clarify if the pattern holds through the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes