A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind the balanced market odds, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and models such as GFS indicating a sharp temperature drop for São Paulo on September 23. Southerly winds advect cooler, moist air masses, while widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum likely in the 10–14 °C range. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in front timing, wind speed, and precipitation intensity could push the low below 8 °C if clear breaks allow stronger cooling or keep it above 18 °C if the front stalls. Historical September minima average near 13–15 °C, underscoring how this synoptic shift deviates from baseline conditions and why upcoming model runs will be closely watched.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Sao Paulo le 23 septembre ?
18°C ou plus 69%
8°C ou moins 67%
14°C 27%
13°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
67%
9°C
19%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
9%
18°C ou plus
69%
18°C ou plus 69%
8°C ou moins 67%
14°C 27%
13°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$50 Vol.
67%
9°C
$40 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$15 Vol.
9%
18°C ou plus
$100 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind the balanced market odds, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and models such as GFS indicating a sharp temperature drop for São Paulo on September 23. Southerly winds advect cooler, moist air masses, while widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum likely in the 10–14 °C range. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in front timing, wind speed, and precipitation intensity could push the low below 8 °C if clear breaks allow stronger cooling or keep it above 18 °C if the front stalls. Historical September minima average near 13–15 °C, underscoring how this synoptic shift deviates from baseline conditions and why upcoming model runs will be closely watched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$206Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind the balanced market odds, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and models such as GFS indicating a sharp temperature drop for São Paulo on September 23. Southerly winds advect cooler, moist air masses, while widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum likely in the 10–14 °C range. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in front timing, wind speed, and precipitation intensity could push the low below 8 °C if clear breaks allow stronger cooling or keep it above 18 °C if the front stalls. Historical September minima average near 13–15 °C, underscoring how this synoptic shift deviates from baseline conditions and why upcoming model runs will be closely watched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$206Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind the balanced market odds, with official forecasts from agencies like INMET and models such as GFS indicating a sharp temperature drop for São Paulo on September 23. Southerly winds advect cooler, moist air masses, while widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain suppress daytime heating and limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the daily minimum likely in the 10–14 °C range. Trader sentiment reflects genuine forecast uncertainty: variations in front timing, wind speed, and precipitation intensity could push the low below 8 °C if clear breaks allow stronger cooling or keep it above 18 °C if the front stalls. Historical September minima average near 13–15 °C, underscoring how this synoptic shift deviates from baseline conditions and why upcoming model runs will be closely watched.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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