Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, positioning 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on September 23 while keeping 31°C or higher as a plausible upside scenario. Coastal moderation from the sea typically caps extremes, yet current model consensus and the warm anomaly observed through September 21–22 support trader emphasis on these thresholds over cooler outcomes around the 26–27°C climatological norm. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in coming hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 23 septembre ?
30°C 54%
31°C ou plus 31%
29°C 15%
28°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
54%
31°C ou plus
31%
30°C 54%
31°C ou plus 31%
29°C 15%
28°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$718 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Vol.
1%
26°C
$35 Vol.
1%
27°C
$168 Vol.
3%
28°C
$224 Vol.
4%
29°C
$346 Vol.
15%
30°C
$917 Vol.
54%
31°C ou plus
$440 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, positioning 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on September 23 while keeping 31°C or higher as a plausible upside scenario. Coastal moderation from the sea typically caps extremes, yet current model consensus and the warm anomaly observed through September 21–22 support trader emphasis on these thresholds over cooler outcomes around the 26–27°C climatological norm. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in coming hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,981Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, positioning 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on September 23 while keeping 31°C or higher as a plausible upside scenario. Coastal moderation from the sea typically caps extremes, yet current model consensus and the warm anomaly observed through September 21–22 support trader emphasis on these thresholds over cooler outcomes around the 26–27°C climatological norm. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in coming hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,981Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers highlight a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly flow over the Yellow Sea region, positioning 30°C as the most probable daily maximum for Qingdao on September 23 while keeping 31°C or higher as a plausible upside scenario. Coastal moderation from the sea typically caps extremes, yet current model consensus and the warm anomaly observed through September 21–22 support trader emphasis on these thresholds over cooler outcomes around the 26–27°C climatological norm. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in coming hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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