Clear skies and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Madrid for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 20, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Light easterly winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover allow efficient surface heating, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF has held steady in this range, with minimal spread, while the broader September warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—has kept recent daily highs 3–6°C above climatology. Official AEMET station readings will resolve the market once the maximum is confirmed later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 20 septembre ?
31°C 60%
32°C 32%
30°C 7%
29°C 1.6%
$35,695 Vol.
$35,695 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
60%
32°C
32%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 60%
32°C 32%
30°C 7%
29°C 1.6%
$35,695 Vol.
$35,695 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$9,562 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,042 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,546 Vol.
7%
31°C
$6,966 Vol.
60%
32°C
$7,475 Vol.
32%
33°C
$1,486 Vol.
1%
34°C
$808 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Madrid for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 20, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Light easterly winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover allow efficient surface heating, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF has held steady in this range, with minimal spread, while the broader September warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—has kept recent daily highs 3–6°C above climatology. Official AEMET station readings will resolve the market once the maximum is confirmed later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$35,695Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Madrid for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 20, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Light easterly winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover allow efficient surface heating, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF has held steady in this range, with minimal spread, while the broader September warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—has kept recent daily highs 3–6°C above climatology. Official AEMET station readings will resolve the market once the maximum is confirmed later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,695Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and strong solar insolation under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Madrid for a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 20, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Light easterly winds, low humidity, and negligible cloud cover allow efficient surface heating, pushing temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF has held steady in this range, with minimal spread, while the broader September warm anomaly—driven by persistent subtropical ridging—has kept recent daily highs 3–6°C above climatology. Official AEMET station readings will resolve the market once the maximum is confirmed later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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