Current forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models indicate a mild overnight low near 10–11°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with historical averages around 12.7°C and keeps extremes unlikely, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread and the narrow resolution windows typical for single-day temperature markets. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 21 septembre ?
4°C ou moins 98%
14°C ou plus 98%
9°C 40%
5°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
98%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
40%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C ou plus
98%
4°C ou moins 98%
14°C ou plus 98%
9°C 40%
5°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
4°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
98%
5°C
$0 Vol.
39%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models indicate a mild overnight low near 10–11°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with historical averages around 12.7°C and keeps extremes unlikely, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread and the narrow resolution windows typical for single-day temperature markets. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models indicate a mild overnight low near 10–11°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with historical averages around 12.7°C and keeps extremes unlikely, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread and the narrow resolution windows typical for single-day temperature markets. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and multiple models indicate a mild overnight low near 10–11°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. This setup contrasts with historical averages around 12.7°C and keeps extremes unlikely, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between sub-5°C and 14°C+ outcomes, reflecting model spread and the narrow resolution windows typical for single-day temperature markets. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for refining these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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