Recent official forecasts for Mexico City on September 21 indicate a daytime high near 24–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (50.5% implied probability) and 27°C or higher (35%). Late-September conditions feature typical seasonal cooling after peak summer warmth, moderated by the city's 2,300-meter elevation and variable moisture from the ongoing rainy season. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance points to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited afternoon heating, keeping maxima from exceeding recent observed peaks around 27°C. Minor forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between the two leading outcomes, as small changes in cloud cover or timing of any showers alter peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 21 septembre ?
26°C 54%
27°C ou plus 35%
25°C 9%
24°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
$16,808 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,808 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C ou plus
35%
26°C 54%
27°C ou plus 35%
25°C 9%
24°C 4.5%
NOUVEAU
$16,808 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,808 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$559 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,646 Vol.
1%
24°C
$743 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3,757 Vol.
9%
26°C
$3,166 Vol.
54%
27°C ou plus
$6,777 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Mexico City on September 21 indicate a daytime high near 24–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (50.5% implied probability) and 27°C or higher (35%). Late-September conditions feature typical seasonal cooling after peak summer warmth, moderated by the city's 2,300-meter elevation and variable moisture from the ongoing rainy season. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance points to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited afternoon heating, keeping maxima from exceeding recent observed peaks around 27°C. Minor forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between the two leading outcomes, as small changes in cloud cover or timing of any showers alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,808Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Mexico City on September 21 indicate a daytime high near 24–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (50.5% implied probability) and 27°C or higher (35%). Late-September conditions feature typical seasonal cooling after peak summer warmth, moderated by the city's 2,300-meter elevation and variable moisture from the ongoing rainy season. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance points to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited afternoon heating, keeping maxima from exceeding recent observed peaks around 27°C. Minor forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between the two leading outcomes, as small changes in cloud cover or timing of any showers alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,808Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Mexico City on September 21 indicate a daytime high near 24–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C (50.5% implied probability) and 27°C or higher (35%). Late-September conditions feature typical seasonal cooling after peak summer warmth, moderated by the city's 2,300-meter elevation and variable moisture from the ongoing rainy season. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and regional guidance points to mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited afternoon heating, keeping maxima from exceeding recent observed peaks around 27°C. Minor forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between the two leading outcomes, as small changes in cloud cover or timing of any showers alter peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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