Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 20 septembre ?
7°C ou moins 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 98%
13°C 51%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
100%
8°C
14%
9°C
11%
10°C
13%
11°C
100%
12°C
98%
13°C
51%
14°C
54%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
7°C ou moins 100%
11°C 100%
12°C 98%
13°C 51%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
8°C
$0 Vol.
14%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
98%
13°C
$0 Vol.
51%
14°C
$47 Vol.
54%
15°C
$199 Vol.
1%
16°C
$162 Vol.
1%
17°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$430Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$430Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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