Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and regional Polish services indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a westward-moving frontal system advecting cooler maritime air under cloudy, rainy conditions with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This follows several days of warmer readings around 20–22°C, with the shift suppressing peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Consensus across updated model runs centers on 14–16°C, with minor variations tied to exact frontal timing and local effects, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C outcomes depending on final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 21 septembre ?
15°C 49%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
17°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$10,213 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,213 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
23%
15°C
49%
16°C
26%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
17°C 4%
NOUVEAU
$10,213 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,213 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$267 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$211 Vol.
1%
12°C
$56 Vol.
2%
13°C
$285 Vol.
3%
14°C
$3,400 Vol.
23%
15°C
$1,227 Vol.
49%
16°C
$3,796 Vol.
26%
17°C
$318 Vol.
4%
18°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$191 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and regional Polish services indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a westward-moving frontal system advecting cooler maritime air under cloudy, rainy conditions with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This follows several days of warmer readings around 20–22°C, with the shift suppressing peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Consensus across updated model runs centers on 14–16°C, with minor variations tied to exact frontal timing and local effects, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C outcomes depending on final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,213Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and regional Polish services indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a westward-moving frontal system advecting cooler maritime air under cloudy, rainy conditions with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This follows several days of warmer readings around 20–22°C, with the shift suppressing peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Consensus across updated model runs centers on 14–16°C, with minor variations tied to exact frontal timing and local effects, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C outcomes depending on final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,213Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, GFS, and regional Polish services indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21, driven by a westward-moving frontal system advecting cooler maritime air under cloudy, rainy conditions with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. This follows several days of warmer readings around 20–22°C, with the shift suppressing peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and precipitation. Consensus across updated model runs centers on 14–16°C, with minor variations tied to exact frontal timing and local effects, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C outcomes depending on final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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