Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19, positioning 36°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Warm, humid late-summer air combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies should allow strong daytime heating, though scattered showers may briefly suppress the peak. Historical data show an average high of 31.7°C and a record of 37°C, indicating current conditions support readings above the norm but below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variable that could shift trader sentiment toward 35°C or 37°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 19 septembre ?
36°C 56%
35°C 26%
37°C 16%
34°C 5%
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
26%
36°C
56%
37°C
16%
38°C
2%
39°C ou plus
<1%
36°C 56%
35°C 26%
37°C 16%
34°C 5%
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
26%
36°C
56%
37°C
16%
38°C
2%
39°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daily high of 34–36°C in Guangzhou on September 19, positioning 36°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Warm, humid late-summer air combined with light winds and partly cloudy skies should allow strong daytime heating, though scattered showers may briefly suppress the peak. Historical data show an average high of 31.7°C and a record of 37°C, indicating current conditions support readings above the norm but below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key variable that could shift trader sentiment toward 35°C or 37°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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