Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in Los Angeles on September 19 around 63–68°F, driven by typical late-summer marine layer conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiational cooling near the historical average of 63°F. This positions the 64–65°F bin as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, while the notable 31.6% on 55°F or below reflects trader awareness of potential model spread or stronger onshore flow. No major atmospheric shifts, such as unusual high pressure or heat waves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities aligned with climatological norms and short-term guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 19 septembre ?
64-65°F 48%
68-69°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
55°F ou moins 27.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
28%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
12%
72-73 °F
19%
74°F ou plus
26%
64-65°F 48%
68-69°F 40%
62-63°F 39%
55°F ou moins 27.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$6 Vol.
28%
56-57°F
$6 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$87 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$20 Vol.
39%
64-65°F
$198 Vol.
44%
66-67°F
$544 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
40%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
12%
72-73 °F
$6 Vol.
19%
74°F ou plus
$6 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in Los Angeles on September 19 around 63–68°F, driven by typical late-summer marine layer conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiational cooling near the historical average of 63°F. This positions the 64–65°F bin as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, while the notable 31.6% on 55°F or below reflects trader awareness of potential model spread or stronger onshore flow. No major atmospheric shifts, such as unusual high pressure or heat waves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities aligned with climatological norms and short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$875Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in Los Angeles on September 19 around 63–68°F, driven by typical late-summer marine layer conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiational cooling near the historical average of 63°F. This positions the 64–65°F bin as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, while the notable 31.6% on 55°F or below reflects trader awareness of potential model spread or stronger onshore flow. No major atmospheric shifts, such as unusual high pressure or heat waves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities aligned with climatological norms and short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$875Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate an overnight low in Los Angeles on September 19 around 63–68°F, driven by typical late-summer marine layer conditions, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiational cooling near the historical average of 63°F. This positions the 64–65°F bin as the market leader at 44.5% implied probability, while the notable 31.6% on 55°F or below reflects trader awareness of potential model spread or stronger onshore flow. No major atmospheric shifts, such as unusual high pressure or heat waves, have altered the outlook in recent days, keeping probabilities aligned with climatological norms and short-term guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 66 et 67°F le 18 septembre ?
70%
Oui
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 66 et 67°F le 20 septembre ?
51%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 76 et 77°F le 18 septembre ?
64%
Oui
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