Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the ECMWF and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum in Milan on September 18 likely between 23–26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and residual late-summer warmth across the Po Valley despite increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions position the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 23°C and 24°C, while cooler thresholds remain low-probability given observed trends and limited cooling from precipitation. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with traders weighting official guidance on maximum temperature timing ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 18 septembre ?
25°C ou plus 99%
24°C 37%
23°C 32%
21°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
37%
25°C ou plus
99%
25°C ou plus 99%
24°C 37%
23°C 32%
21°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$4 Vol.
29%
22°C
$10 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the ECMWF and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum in Milan on September 18 likely between 23–26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and residual late-summer warmth across the Po Valley despite increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions position the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 23°C and 24°C, while cooler thresholds remain low-probability given observed trends and limited cooling from precipitation. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with traders weighting official guidance on maximum temperature timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the ECMWF and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum in Milan on September 18 likely between 23–26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and residual late-summer warmth across the Po Valley despite increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions position the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 23°C and 24°C, while cooler thresholds remain low-probability given observed trends and limited cooling from precipitation. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with traders weighting official guidance on maximum temperature timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the ECMWF and Met Office indicates a daytime maximum in Milan on September 18 likely between 23–26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and residual late-summer warmth across the Po Valley despite increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions position the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 23°C and 24°C, while cooler thresholds remain low-probability given observed trends and limited cooling from precipitation. Updated model runs in the past 48 hours have reinforced this range, with traders weighting official guidance on maximum temperature timing ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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