**Current observational data and short-term forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai temperatures are peaking near 28°C today under predominantly overcast conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 40%.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where typical daily maxima hover near 28°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 28°C reflects aggregated real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited diurnal warming. Realistic shifts could occur from localized urban heat island effects, revised station readings, or brief clearing that allows additional solar insolation to push the official high slightly higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 16 septembre ?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
23°C ou moins <1%
$58,027 Vol.
$58,027 Vol.
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
23°C ou moins <1%
$58,027 Vol.
$58,027 Vol.
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data and short-term forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai temperatures are peaking near 28°C today under predominantly overcast conditions with light northeast winds and moderate humidity around 40%.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where typical daily maxima hover near 28°C absent strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 28°C reflects aggregated real-time surface observations and model agreement on limited diurnal warming. Realistic shifts could occur from localized urban heat island effects, revised station readings, or brief clearing that allows additional solar insolation to push the official high slightly higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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