Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models centers on a high near 94°F for Houston on September 20, driven by persistent mid- and upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence, clear to mostly sunny skies, and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly to southeasterly winds. Above-average temperatures relative to the 88.5°F climatological normal reflect this stable pattern, with dew points rising Sunday and introducing a slight afternoon thunderstorm risk that could briefly limit peak heating. Market-implied odds favoring the 94–95°F bin align with these model runs, while lower probabilities for 96°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming absent stronger ridging or drier air. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 20 septembre ?
94-95 °F 54%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 15%
90-91 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89 °F
2%
90-91 °F
5%
92-93°F
29%
94-95 °F
54%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou plus
<1%
94-95 °F 54%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 15%
90-91 °F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
83°F ou moins
$121 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$121 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$221 Vol.
<1%
88-89 °F
$44 Vol.
2%
90-91 °F
$192 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$1,706 Vol.
29%
94-95 °F
$1,481 Vol.
54%
96-97°F
$664 Vol.
15%
98-99°F
$256 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$225 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou plus
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models centers on a high near 94°F for Houston on September 20, driven by persistent mid- and upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence, clear to mostly sunny skies, and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly to southeasterly winds. Above-average temperatures relative to the 88.5°F climatological normal reflect this stable pattern, with dew points rising Sunday and introducing a slight afternoon thunderstorm risk that could briefly limit peak heating. Market-implied odds favoring the 94–95°F bin align with these model runs, while lower probabilities for 96°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming absent stronger ridging or drier air. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,162Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models centers on a high near 94°F for Houston on September 20, driven by persistent mid- and upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence, clear to mostly sunny skies, and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly to southeasterly winds. Above-average temperatures relative to the 88.5°F climatological normal reflect this stable pattern, with dew points rising Sunday and introducing a slight afternoon thunderstorm risk that could briefly limit peak heating. Market-implied odds favoring the 94–95°F bin align with these model runs, while lower probabilities for 96°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming absent stronger ridging or drier air. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,162Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models centers on a high near 94°F for Houston on September 20, driven by persistent mid- and upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence, clear to mostly sunny skies, and strong daytime solar heating under light easterly to southeasterly winds. Above-average temperatures relative to the 88.5°F climatological normal reflect this stable pattern, with dew points rising Sunday and introducing a slight afternoon thunderstorm risk that could briefly limit peak heating. Market-implied odds favoring the 94–95°F bin align with these model runs, while lower probabilities for 96°F+ reflect the narrow window for additional warming absent stronger ridging or drier air. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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