Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in the low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and moderate radiative cooling under mostly to partly cloudy skies overnight. Model guidance and agency outlooks converge on overnight lows near 60–63°F, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the observed cooling trend after recent rain. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on the 62–63°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting limited uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind speeds that could nudge the exact reading slightly higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 21 septembre ?
62-63 °F 44%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
66-67°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
2%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
15%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
24%
62-63 °F
44%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
18%
68-69 °F
5%
70-71 °F
5%
72°F ou plus
1%
62-63 °F 44%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
66-67°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
$85 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
15%
58-59°F
$42 Vol.
14%
60-61°F
$256 Vol.
24%
62-63 °F
$446 Vol.
44%
64-65°F
$327 Vol.
35%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68-69 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
70-71 °F
$31 Vol.
5%
72°F ou plus
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in the low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and moderate radiative cooling under mostly to partly cloudy skies overnight. Model guidance and agency outlooks converge on overnight lows near 60–63°F, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the observed cooling trend after recent rain. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on the 62–63°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting limited uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind speeds that could nudge the exact reading slightly higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,203Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in the low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and moderate radiative cooling under mostly to partly cloudy skies overnight. Model guidance and agency outlooks converge on overnight lows near 60–63°F, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the observed cooling trend after recent rain. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on the 62–63°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting limited uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind speeds that could nudge the exact reading slightly higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,203Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature in the low 60s Fahrenheit for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage and moderate radiative cooling under mostly to partly cloudy skies overnight. Model guidance and agency outlooks converge on overnight lows near 60–63°F, consistent with seasonal norms for late September and the observed cooling trend after recent rain. Trader-implied probabilities cluster on the 62–63°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting limited uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind speeds that could nudge the exact reading slightly higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus élevée à New York le 21 septembre sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F ?
53%
Oui
La température la plus basse à New York le 22 septembre sera-t-elle comprise entre 58 et 59°F ?
45%
Oui
La température la plus basse à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 64 et 65°F le 20 septembre ?
85%
Oui
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