Latest global model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle near 23–25°C under persistent northeast flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities, tracks these ensembles while acknowledging small spreads in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September baselines around 20°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and weak pressure gradients favor milder readings. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market once any late-evening clearing or rain ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 19 septembre ?
24°C 50%
25°C 44%
23°C 6%
26°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
50%
25°C
44%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 44%
23°C 6%
26°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$57 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$202 Vol.
1%
22°C
$288 Vol.
1%
23°C
$243 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,139 Vol.
50%
25°C
$532 Vol.
44%
26°C
$147 Vol.
2%
27°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle near 23–25°C under persistent northeast flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities, tracks these ensembles while acknowledging small spreads in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September baselines around 20°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and weak pressure gradients favor milder readings. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market once any late-evening clearing or rain ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,868Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle near 23–25°C under persistent northeast flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities, tracks these ensembles while acknowledging small spreads in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September baselines around 20°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and weak pressure gradients favor milder readings. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market once any late-evening clearing or rain ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,868Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest global model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 will likely settle near 23–25°C under persistent northeast flow, elevated humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities, tracks these ensembles while acknowledging small spreads in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture that can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September baselines around 20°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and weak pressure gradients favor milder readings. Final observations from official stations will resolve the market once any late-evening clearing or rain ends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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