Recent official forecasts and model guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Morning observations near 23°C under overcast skies, combined with high humidity and a 60%+ chance of precipitation, align with historical September baselines moderated by this frontal pattern rather than typical clear-sky highs near 28°C. These conditions position 25°C as the consensus outcome among traders, with nearby 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor forecast spreads and resolution thresholds, while lower probabilities for extremes capture residual model uncertainty ahead of final afternoon readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 19 septembre ?
25°C 38%
24°C 29%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$30,957 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,957 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
9%
24°C
29%
25°C
38%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 29%
26°C 24%
23°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$30,957 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$30,957 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,590 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,784 Vol.
9%
24°C
$12,280 Vol.
29%
25°C
$2,461 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,709 Vol.
24%
27°C
$1,083 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,697 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,316 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Morning observations near 23°C under overcast skies, combined with high humidity and a 60%+ chance of precipitation, align with historical September baselines moderated by this frontal pattern rather than typical clear-sky highs near 28°C. These conditions position 25°C as the consensus outcome among traders, with nearby 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor forecast spreads and resolution thresholds, while lower probabilities for extremes capture residual model uncertainty ahead of final afternoon readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,957Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Morning observations near 23°C under overcast skies, combined with high humidity and a 60%+ chance of precipitation, align with historical September baselines moderated by this frontal pattern rather than typical clear-sky highs near 28°C. These conditions position 25°C as the consensus outcome among traders, with nearby 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor forecast spreads and resolution thresholds, while lower probabilities for extremes capture residual model uncertainty ahead of final afternoon readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,957Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Morning observations near 23°C under overcast skies, combined with high humidity and a 60%+ chance of precipitation, align with historical September baselines moderated by this frontal pattern rather than typical clear-sky highs near 28°C. These conditions position 25°C as the consensus outcome among traders, with nearby 24°C and 26°C reflecting minor forecast spreads and resolution thresholds, while lower probabilities for extremes capture residual model uncertainty ahead of final afternoon readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes