Official meteorological observations from Beijing stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on September 19, 2026, aligning with model consensus and real-time data that drove the market-implied probability to 100%. This outcome fits within the historical range for the date, where averages reach 25.6°C and records extend to 31°C, influenced by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns including moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of ground measurements over forecasts once the day concludes. Only calibration discrepancies between reporting agencies or rare station-specific anomalies could shift resolution, though such cases remain statistically improbable given standardized protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 septembre ?
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,308 Vol.
$32,308 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Oui
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C ou plus
Non
28°C 100.0%
23°C ou moins <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$32,308 Vol.
$32,308 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$527 Vol.
Non
24°C
$573 Vol.
Non
25°C
$2,706 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,509 Vol.
Non
27°C
$3,668 Vol.
Non
28°C
$10,584 Vol.
Oui
29°C
$4,908 Vol.
Non
30°C
$3,612 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,733 Vol.
Non
32°C
$335 Vol.
Non
33°C ou plus
$153 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Beijing stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on September 19, 2026, aligning with model consensus and real-time data that drove the market-implied probability to 100%. This outcome fits within the historical range for the date, where averages reach 25.6°C and records extend to 31°C, influenced by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns including moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of ground measurements over forecasts once the day concludes. Only calibration discrepancies between reporting agencies or rare station-specific anomalies could shift resolution, though such cases remain statistically improbable given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$32,308Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Beijing stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on September 19, 2026, aligning with model consensus and real-time data that drove the market-implied probability to 100%. This outcome fits within the historical range for the date, where averages reach 25.6°C and records extend to 31°C, influenced by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns including moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of ground measurements over forecasts once the day concludes. Only calibration discrepancies between reporting agencies or rare station-specific anomalies could shift resolution, though such cases remain statistically improbable given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,308Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official meteorological observations from Beijing stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on September 19, 2026, aligning with model consensus and real-time data that drove the market-implied probability to 100%. This outcome fits within the historical range for the date, where averages reach 25.6°C and records extend to 31°C, influenced by typical late-summer atmospheric patterns including moderate humidity and light winds. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of ground measurements over forecasts once the day concludes. Only calibration discrepancies between reporting agencies or rare station-specific anomalies could shift resolution, though such cases remain statistically improbable given standardized protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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