Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological models point to a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, keeping Qingdao’s maximum near 25–27 °C on September 19, with ensemble spreads occasionally allowing peaks near 29–30 °C. Coastal moderation from the sea surface, currently around 23–24 °C, limits daytime warming, while clear to partly cloudy skies and modest humidity favor the 29–31 °C range over both cooler and hotter extremes. Historical September highs average 25–26 °C, so the market-implied concentration around 30 °C reflects traders weighting model uncertainty and any late adjustments in official guidance ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 19 septembre ?
30°C 50%
29°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
32%
30°C
50%
31°C
13%
32°C ou plus
1%
30°C 50%
29°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$193 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$160 Vol.
2%
27°C
$162 Vol.
2%
28°C
$200 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,427 Vol.
32%
30°C
$2,469 Vol.
50%
31°C
$1,048 Vol.
13%
32°C ou plus
$214 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological models point to a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, keeping Qingdao’s maximum near 25–27 °C on September 19, with ensemble spreads occasionally allowing peaks near 29–30 °C. Coastal moderation from the sea surface, currently around 23–24 °C, limits daytime warming, while clear to partly cloudy skies and modest humidity favor the 29–31 °C range over both cooler and hotter extremes. Historical September highs average 25–26 °C, so the market-implied concentration around 30 °C reflects traders weighting model uncertainty and any late adjustments in official guidance ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,934Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological models point to a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, keeping Qingdao’s maximum near 25–27 °C on September 19, with ensemble spreads occasionally allowing peaks near 29–30 °C. Coastal moderation from the sea surface, currently around 23–24 °C, limits daytime warming, while clear to partly cloudy skies and modest humidity favor the 29–31 °C range over both cooler and hotter extremes. Historical September highs average 25–26 °C, so the market-implied concentration around 30 °C reflects traders weighting model uncertainty and any late adjustments in official guidance ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,934Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological models point to a stable high-pressure system and light southerly flow over the Yellow Sea, keeping Qingdao’s maximum near 25–27 °C on September 19, with ensemble spreads occasionally allowing peaks near 29–30 °C. Coastal moderation from the sea surface, currently around 23–24 °C, limits daytime warming, while clear to partly cloudy skies and modest humidity favor the 29–31 °C range over both cooler and hotter extremes. Historical September highs average 25–26 °C, so the market-implied concentration around 30 °C reflects traders weighting model uncertainty and any late adjustments in official guidance ahead of the daily observation window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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