Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 19 septembre ?
13°C 99%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,370 Vol.
$1,370 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Oui
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C ou plus
Non
13°C 99%
10°C ou moins <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,370 Vol.
$1,370 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$366 Vol.
Non
11°C
$41 Vol.
Non
12°C
$21 Vol.
Non
13°C
$73 Vol.
Oui
14°C
$70 Vol.
Non
15°C
$201 Vol.
Non
16°C
$35 Vol.
Non
17°C
$5 Vol.
Non
18°C
$5 Vol.
Non
19°C
$62 Vol.
Non
20°C ou plus
$491 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,370Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,370Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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