Scattered showers and thunderstorms are the main driver of trader positioning for measurable precipitation on September 18, 2026, particularly across the southeastern U.S. where National Weather Service forecasts indicate a 40% chance tied to frontal boundaries, tropical moisture, and afternoon heating. Florida locations such as Miami show elevated probabilities in current model runs, while Northeast cities like New York and Philadelphia are expected to remain mostly dry today with rain more likely Sunday. Other regions, including parts of the Midwest and Southwest, trend drier under high pressure. NWS Daily Climate Reports will provide the official 0.01-inch threshold data for resolution across listed cities, with traders closely monitoring any late-day convective updates that could shift localized outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù va-t-il pleuvoir le 18 septembre ?
New York, NY
2%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
38%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
11%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
50%
Denver, CO
67%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
28%
Miami, FL
81%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
7%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$1,126 Vol.
New York, NY
2%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
38%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
11%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
50%
Denver, CO
67%
Washington, DC
25%
Atlanta, GA
28%
Miami, FL
81%
Seattle, WA
25%
Boston, MA
7%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are the main driver of trader positioning for measurable precipitation on September 18, 2026, particularly across the southeastern U.S. where National Weather Service forecasts indicate a 40% chance tied to frontal boundaries, tropical moisture, and afternoon heating. Florida locations such as Miami show elevated probabilities in current model runs, while Northeast cities like New York and Philadelphia are expected to remain mostly dry today with rain more likely Sunday. Other regions, including parts of the Midwest and Southwest, trend drier under high pressure. NWS Daily Climate Reports will provide the official 0.01-inch threshold data for resolution across listed cities, with traders closely monitoring any late-day convective updates that could shift localized outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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