Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 19 septembre ?
66-67°F 100.0%
65°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,554 Vol.
$37,554 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
65°F ou moins
Non
66-67°F
Oui
68-69 °F
Non
70-71°F
Non
72-73 °F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77 °F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80-81 °F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84°F ou plus
Non
66-67°F 100.0%
65°F ou moins <1%
68-69 °F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$37,554 Vol.
$37,554 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
65°F ou moins
$1,416 Vol.
Non
66-67°F
$9,366 Vol.
Oui
68-69 °F
$5,893 Vol.
Non
70-71°F
$4,961 Vol.
Non
72-73 °F
$4,768 Vol.
Non
74-75°F
$3,038 Vol.
Non
76-77 °F
$1,889 Vol.
Non
78-79 °F
$1,982 Vol.
Non
80-81 °F
$266 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$1,363 Vol.
Non
84°F ou plus
$2,612 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,554Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,554Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco stations recorded a daily maximum of 66–67°F on September 19, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed inland warming, holding coastal highs several degrees below the 1991–2020 normal of roughly 70–75°F and preventing the brief ridge-driven warming seen earlier in the month. With the date now past and preliminary climate summaries released, traders assigned essentially 100% probability to this bin because verified station data leave no realistic path to a different resolution. Minor upward revisions in final quality-controlled records remain possible but historically rare for this location and threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 64 et 65°F le 20 septembre ?
57%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 66 et 67°F le 21 septembre ?
40%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 20 et 20,5°C le 22 septembre ?
35%
Oui
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