Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 20 septembre ?
16°C ou moins 95%
26°C ou plus 89%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C ou moins
95%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
30%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou plus
89%
16°C ou moins 95%
26°C ou plus 89%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
16°C ou moins
95%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
30%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C ou plus
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes